Importance: High
Dave,
Good afternoon. | hope you had a good holiday and are planning on a good New Year.
Thanks for the presentation information. Just to follow-up, it appears that no additional presentation on the 15th is
being asked for. Should that change, } will let you know.
| have some additional questions | want to clarify with you. Some of these are just internal questions we have and want
to make sure we are interpreting your presentation information correctly. | have highlighted my specific questions for
clarity.
® You should have received a copy of a letter from DWSD to Flint dated December 21%. As | review the options
that they provide Flint, | note some differences with what you outlined as the DWSD options for Flint. Have you
taken these changes Into account? If not, what Is the impact these “latest” proposals will have?
Yes, we did receive a copy from the Director dated, December 21%. The proposals appear to be similar to what we
presented for the 18 MGD maximum day customer from P&B and from Imlay. However, the attached exhibits
referenced were not attached for us to review the specific rates.
Overall, | have some broad, “strategic” questions:
e Anticipating a return of future growth to the City, what is the maximum MGD DWSD could provide to Flint?
What about KWA? The overall question is whether either entity could provide more water to Flint than is
anticipated if they needed to.
Regarding the KWA, we do not have specifics on the route and profile so we can’t do a hydraulic analysis to determine
the additional capacity that could be provided by their proposed system. However, prior hydraulic analyses of the
existing 72-inch main has shown that in excess of 90 MGD can be supplied to Flint by DWSD.
® On the flip-side, if decline continues in Flint, what happens if Flint needs less water than projected? What
would that do to the financial projections?
Regarding both proposals we need to know the volume of water purchased to do a reasonable estimate. With regards
to KWA, since the percentage of the water supplied would be reduced, we would need to confirm that their capital
investment obligation would be reduced accordingly based on Flint’'s percentage of the total volume.
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e Given Flint’s current financial situation, did you analyze the City’s ability to actually sell bonds to make any of
these improvements?
As we indicated in our presentation, this is a concern. It has been assumed that the KWA bonds would be backed by
Genesee County; however, Flint would still need to bond for the improvements at their WTP.
e It appears that the overall expenditures required to cover any of the outlined options are going to require water
rates to rise almost annually. Has there been any analysis on what rates might look like and/or what the
capacity of the public to pay these rates might be?
We were not requested to analyze the capacity of the public to pay the water rates, so | can’t respond to that
question. However, we did include the rate increase in all of our scenarios. It is shown on our spreadsheets as,
“Escalation/Inflation Rate.”
Specifically:
e What Is the total cost for Flint to buy the 72” line fram DWSD? | see a capital cost on that option of $4.7-
million. Does that include the 72” line? Related to this, do we know what the projected lifespan of that line is?
What would the replacement cost be? A question we are having is whether Flint would have the financial
and/or operational ability to maintain this line. Also, am unsure, once you account for O&M costs and bond
payments, if there is enough overall benefit to Flint owning that line is If they remain with DWSD.
The $4.7M shown is for the purchase of the 72-inch line. It is the best estimate DWSD has provided so far, but the actual
cost would be dependent on negotiations between DWSD and Flint. The bond payments are included in our
analysis. DWSD has also offered to “role” the cost into the annual Flint water rate. Our analysis did indicate that the
Imlay option was less expensive than for most of the other options.
The pipe itself is a pre-stressed concrete cylinder pipe (PCCP) that has excellent life expectancy. Assuming that the
water main was installed in the late 60’s | would suspect that the life expectancy to be beyond the planning period we
analyzed.
e It appears to me that the O&M costs for the Flint Water Plant are very high. If Flint were to continue to buy
water from DWSD, other than for a back-up, is there any reason they could not avoid those costs by
mothballing the plant and having DWSD provide 100% finished water to them?
The issue has been related to MDEQ requiring that Flint have a backup supply in case their service is interrupted by a
loss of the 72-inch main. Flint is supplied off a single line and that is why the redundancy is required.
e Regarding KWA, perhaps | missed this explanation, but why are the options for KWA for 12 MGD as opposed to
the option for 18 MGD?
The 12 MGD is the daily average. KWA has indicated that their system can provide the maximum day demand to Flint as
well.
e Is there any financial sense for Flint to close its plant and KWA builds theirs bigger to accommodate them?
That option was not investigated and we do not know the associated cost of the Genesee County plant. However, each
community was pointing to an inter-agency agreement that wauld allow them each to provide a backup supply to the
other. That would not be possible with just one plant.
e Regarding your spreadsheet for the KWA Proposal 2, | note that it appears you are using numbers ($7.758-
million) from Proposal 1 in calculating some of the capital costs. ts this correct?
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Yes, this is the $7.1M projected in the 2009 report that was adjusted for inflation at 3%/year for three years.
| recognize what you provided was a preliminary report, but these are some questions | noted as your information was
reflected upon. | would appreciate your comments on these questions.
Please note that | will not be in the office again until January 3, so please copy Randall Byrne, OFR Manager, on any
responses.
Regards,
Eric Cline | Unit Operations Specialist - Office of Fiscal Responsibility
State of Michigan | Michigan Department of Treasury
430 W. Allegan Street, 3rd Floor | Lansing, MI 48922
(517) 335-2078 |
[email protected]
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