Andy - I asked for thoughts from bond counsel on issues raised in the Tucker
Young February 2013 report related to debt service and operating
reserves. There are also some Act 436 procedural issues discussed in the
letter. I just received this and want to send it to you in advance of the meeting
today. Jim
James G. Fausone
41700 West Six Mile Road, Suite 101
Northville, Michigan 48168-3460
(248) 380-0000 tel. ext. 1818
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CLARK HILL
Clark Hill PLC
151 South Old Woodward Avenue
Suite 200
irmingham, Michigan 48009
Robert Schwartz 1258 G22 9622
TSA ORM ebAT F 248 642 2174
F 248 988 1834
Emall
[email protected] clarkhill-com
April 19, 2013
Mr. James Fausone
Chair
Board of Water Commissioners
Detroit Water and Sewerage Department
Detroit, Michigan
Re: KWA Proposal
Dear Mr. Fausone:
This is in response to your request for our advice regarding certain financial and
procedural aspects relating to the proposal made by the Karegnondi Water Authority (“KWA”)
to the City of Flint (“Flint”) to replace the Detroit Water and Sewerage Department (“DWSD”)
as Flint’s water supplier.
As bond counsel! for the City of Detroit (the “City”) in connection with the issuance by
the City, on behalf of DWSD, of over $650 million in sewer system bonds las! year, we are
familiar with DWSD, the water and sewerage systems and those matters most important to the
successful financing of system improvements.
For purposes of this letter, we have reviewed, among other documents and
correspondence, the City of Flint Water Supply Assessment, “Preliminury Findings,” of Tucker,
Young, Jackson, Tull, Inc., dated December 21. 2012 (the “Tucker Young Report”). We
understand that the Tucker Young Report has been central to the discussion regarding whether or
not the proposed KWA proposal should be pursued.
In our view, the financial analysis of the transaction and its consequences require
reference to two subjects not materially considered by the Tucker Young Report or otherwise in
connection with the KWA proposal. Among the most important are the effects on system debt
service coverage and operating reserves. The Tucker Young Report notes that, among others,
debt service coverage ratios and the funding of operating reserves were not specifically analyzed.
The result could be a very significant understatement of costs. In this regard, we also note that
the interest rates suggested for future Flint or system debt are, at best, purely speculative, if not
considerably understated.
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Mr. James Fausone
April 19, 2013
Page 2
Debt Service Coverage
The debt service coverage ratio of any governmental body is a major consideration in the
credit analysis of our national rating agencies. In this regard, one of the City’s major
underwriting firms, Siebert Brandford Shank & Co., LLC, has provided a comparative analysis
of the credit ratings and debt service coverage ratios of several water systems, including the
DWSD water system. The ability of a governmental body to pay its indebtedness is succinctly
reflected in its debt service coverage ratio. National rating agencies have different credit criteria
in this regard. Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services requires a 1.5 debt service coverage ratio to
assign a “strong” credit rating, while Fitch Ratings demands a debt service coverage ratio above
2.0.
The Ordinance governing the issuance of indebtedness for DWSD requires that the ratio
of rates and charges to expenses be no less than 1.2 for senior debt.
In contrast, the KWA data reflects debt service coverage only in its financial proforma,
which translates to a debt service coverage ratio of only 1.0, based on expectations, not
experience. That ratio is extremely poor and unlikely to support any meaningful debt at any rate
other than an unreasonably high one. This subject demands considerably more attention before a
determination regarding the viability of the KWA proposal should be made.
Operating Reserves
In addition to the need for more analysis of the debt service coverage potential in
connection with the KWA proposal, the strength of the potential operating reserves of the system
must be considered. Our national rating agencies consider cash on hand as an indication of
financial strength or weakness. The absence of cash to withstand negative unforeseen
circumstances is a major negative factor in the rating analysis. Evidence of a three to twelve
month operating reserve is extremely important. To our knowledge, there is no evidence of the
means by which a meaningful operating reserve will be developed under the KWA proposal,
Act 436 Procedural Issue
Another issue of major importance is the procedure by which the KWA proposal has
been or will be considered. The Local Financial Stability and Choice Act, Act 436, Michigan
Public Acts of 2012 (“Act 436”), requires, in Section 12(3) thereof, that contracts with a
cumulative value of $50,000 or more be subject to competitive bidding, absent authorization by
the State Treasurer to abandon bidding.
The circumstances under which Flint is considering the KWA proposal are totally unclear
as to whether this provision has been satisfied. To our knowledge, based on correspondence we
have seen to date, the State Treasurer has not specifically waived the competitive bidding
process. Moreover, we are not aware that any specific bidding requirements were published or
xxxEND_PAGE:treasury01_b04_0379_0503_065
Mr. James Fausone
April 19, 2013
Page 3
any information regarding evaluation criteria (of which, in complete disregard of customary and
accepted governmental policy and practice, there appear to be none) disseminated. On what
basis, then, can Flint legally proceed, particularly in view of the chronology of proposals
submitted. No meaningful review of the DWSD’s proposal viz-a-viz the KWA proposal
conceivably could have been performed. Consequently, it can be concluded that the technical
requirements of Act 436 were not satisfied and that a fair and intelligent analysis of competing
contracts was clearly not made.
Public Policy
Finally, matters of public policy must be considered under circumstances as significant as
these. Among such considerations are the existence of substantial public infrastructure with
excess capacity, demographic data showing shrinking demand in the service area, the
enthusiastic momentum behind the creation of a regional authority of which DWSD would be the
structural foundation and the reduction in customer costs by a substantial percentage as reflected
in the DWSD proposal, all of which militate substantially in favor of the DWSD proposal.
We have endeavored to summarize only a few of the more salient points relating to the
analysis of the proposed KWA proposal in light of the proposals made by DWSD to continue the
current relationship with Flint. Certainly, other matters of significance can and should be
considered which may further affect the credibility of the KWA proposal.
Very truly yours, P
rr
CANS SA
Robert L. Schw:
—
a“
RLS/jmh
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Headen, Frederick (T reasury)